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Red47
641823.7
6685.9
207328.6
Blue81
186816.9
550714.5
25440.9
23%Model gave it77%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions598802040801001201401604781

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
28.60.7
28.127.5
Auto9.8
Teleop16.5
End2.2
blue by 12.4
254
#2
40.90.1
43.143.0
Auto13.8
Teleop21.8
End5.4
Second
6418
#13
23.70.7
21.420.7
Auto9.2
Teleop12.2
End2.3
red by 6.7
1868
#18
16.90.1
17.117.0
Auto6.4
Teleop9.8
End0.8
Third
668
#31
5.90.7
7.56.8
Auto3.0
Teleop1.4
End1.5
blue by 8.6
5507
#28
14.50.1
15.915.7
Auto5.8
Teleop5.7
End3.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
47%Melody oddsMissed57%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
8%Ensemble oddsMissed63%Ensemble oddsEarned