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Red39
804822.7
65061.4
550714.5
Blue45
69613.2
666220.0
76614.8
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions425302060801001203945

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8048
#19
22.70.0
22.922.9
Auto6.4
Teleop14.3
End2.0
red by 2.7
20.00.5
19.218.7
Auto10.4
Teleop8.5
End1.2
Second
5507
#28
14.50.0
14.714.7
Auto5.8
Teleop5.7
End3.0
blue by 0.3
766
#7
14.80.5
13.212.7
Auto6.2
Teleop8.1
End0.6
Third
6506
#34
1.40.0
1.41.4
Auto0.1
Teleop1.0
End0.3
blue by 11.9
696
#29
13.20.5
14.013.5
Auto3.6
Teleop8.8
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
12%Melody oddsMissed45%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
18%Ensemble oddsMissed3%Ensemble oddsMissed