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Red57
19679.1
186816.9
91439.4
Blue84
140325.7
84135.6
38596.7
5%Model gave it95%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions317602040601001205784

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1868
#18
16.90.9
16.717.6
Auto6.4
Teleop9.8
End0.8
blue by 18.7
841
#4
35.61.4
33.835.2
Auto8.9
Teleop24.1
End2.7
Second
9143
#40
9.40.9
8.59.4
Auto6.6
Teleop1.2
End1.7
blue by 16.3
1403
#10
25.71.4
24.325.7
Auto8.1
Teleop17.8
End-0.1
Third
1967
#33
9.10.9
8.29.1
Auto3.5
Teleop5.2
End0.4
red by 2.5
3859
#25
6.71.4
5.36.7
Auto2.5
Teleop3.1
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
10%Melody oddsMissed47%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
7%Ensemble oddsMissed10%Ensemble oddsMissed