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Red63
502618.0
545818.8
804822.7
Blue83
541921.0
641823.7
76614.8
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions66632040801006383

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8048
#19
22.70.1
22.622.7
Auto6.4
Teleop14.3
End2.0
blue by 1.0
6418
#13
23.70.6
22.923.5
Auto9.2
Teleop12.2
End2.3
Second
5458
#12
18.80.1
18.718.8
Auto5.6
Teleop9.8
End3.4
blue by 2.2
5419
#30
21.00.6
20.220.8
Auto4.2
Teleop13.3
End3.5
Third
5026
#17
18.00.1
17.918.0
Auto8.1
Teleop9.7
End0.1
red by 3.1
766
#7
14.80.6
14.114.7
Auto6.2
Teleop8.1
End0.6