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Red95
666220.0
161920.5
84616.2
Blue41
6685.9
186816.9
661926.2
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions58553040507080909541

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1619
#14
20.50.8
18.919.8
Auto7.4
Teleop12.6
End0.4
blue by 5.7
6619
#24
26.20.2
26.426.2
Auto11.8
Teleop13.7
End0.7
Second
20.00.8
18.519.4
Auto10.4
Teleop8.5
End1.2
red by 3.1
1868
#18
16.90.2
17.216.9
Auto6.4
Teleop9.8
End0.8
Third
846
#36
16.20.8
14.615.5
Auto6.9
Teleop8.1
End1.1
red by 10.3
668
#31
5.90.2
6.15.9
Auto3.0
Teleop1.4
End1.5