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Red5
755110.8
99995.6
749711.7
Blue47
770918.6
872524.8
942710.8
22%Model gave it78%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions29640204080100120140160547

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7497
Unranked
11.70.0
11.711.7
Auto7.2
Teleop3.4
End1.1
blue by 13.1
8725
Unranked
24.80.0
24.824.8
Auto12.8
Teleop11.4
End0.6
Second
7551
Unranked
10.80.0
10.810.8
Auto4.2
Teleop4.8
End1.9
blue by 7.8
7709
Unranked
18.60.0
18.618.6
Auto5.8
Teleop11.5
End1.3
Third
9999
Unranked
5.60.0
5.65.6
Auto2.0
Teleop2.7
End0.5
blue by 5.2
9427
Unranked
10.80.0
10.810.8
Auto4.2
Teleop4.5
End2.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
10%Melody odds28%Melody odds
Ensemble
14%Ensemble odds11%Ensemble odds