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Red42
75898.6
880630.4
85858.7
Blue28
713012.7
88057.3
608315.8
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5537020801001201401604228

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8806
Unranked
30.40.0
30.430.4
Auto13.1
Teleop14.3
End2.9
red by 14.6
6083
Unranked
15.80.0
15.815.8
Auto6.0
Teleop9.9
End-0.2
Second
8585
Unranked
8.70.0
8.78.7
Auto3.2
Teleop4.5
End1.0
blue by 4.0
7130
Unranked
12.70.0
12.712.7
Auto5.3
Teleop5.7
End1.7
Third
7589
Unranked
8.60.0
8.68.6
Auto3.0
Teleop4.8
End0.8
red by 1.3
8805
Unranked
7.30.0
7.37.3
Auto1.5
Teleop5.7
End0.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
27%Melody odds8%Melody odds
Ensemble
8%Ensemble odds15%Ensemble odds