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Red11
879010.9
816916.6
950118.3
Blue58
763221.8
859515.0
912622.1
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions486801001501158

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9501
Unranked
18.30.0
18.318.3
Auto5.1
Teleop11.4
End1.8
blue by 3.8
9126
Unranked
22.10.0
22.122.1
Auto5.8
Teleop14.7
End1.6
Second
8169
Unranked
16.60.0
16.616.6
Auto7.9
Teleop7.4
End1.3
blue by 5.2
7632
Unranked
21.80.0
21.821.8
Auto9.9
Teleop10.3
End1.7
Third
8790
Unranked
10.90.0
10.910.9
Auto2.8
Teleop7.1
End1.0
blue by 4.0
8595
Unranked
15.00.0
15.015.0
Auto5.0
Teleop7.6
End2.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
23%Melody odds61%Melody odds
Ensemble
6%Ensemble odds17%Ensemble odds