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Red38
85848.2
608315.8
880630.4
Blue37
802017.6
770918.6
99985.6
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions615602040801001201401603837

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8806
Unranked
30.40.0
30.430.4
Auto13.1
Teleop14.3
End2.9
red by 11.8
7709
Unranked
18.60.0
18.618.6
Auto5.8
Teleop11.5
End1.3
Second
6083
Unranked
15.80.0
15.815.8
Auto6.0
Teleop9.9
End-0.2
blue by 1.9
8020
Unranked
17.60.0
17.617.6
Auto5.7
Teleop9.9
End2.1
Third
8584
Unranked
8.20.0
8.28.2
Auto3.7
Teleop4.1
End0.5
red by 2.6
9998
Unranked
5.60.0
5.65.6
Auto2.0
Teleop2.7
End0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
30%Melody odds65%Melody odds
Ensemble
8%Ensemble odds6%Ensemble odds