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Red23
61913.1
816916.6
859515.0
Blue22
749711.7
99955.6
76369.6
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions384101001502002502322

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8169
Unranked
16.60.0
16.616.6
Auto7.9
Teleop7.4
End1.3
red by 4.9
7497
Unranked
11.70.0
11.711.7
Auto7.2
Teleop3.4
End1.1
Second
8595
Unranked
15.00.0
15.015.0
Auto5.0
Teleop7.6
End2.3
red by 5.4
7636
Unranked
9.60.0
9.69.6
Auto3.3
Teleop5.4
End0.9
Third
6191
Unranked
3.10.0
3.13.1
Auto1.5
Teleop0.1
End1.5
blue by 2.5
9995
Unranked
5.60.0
5.65.6
Auto2.0
Teleop2.7
End0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
21%Melody odds9%Melody odds
Ensemble
9%Ensemble odds12%Ensemble odds