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Red37
85848.2
99955.6
770918.6
Blue22
764515.1
749711.7
816916.6
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions484730405060703722

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7709
Unranked
18.60.0
18.618.6
Auto5.8
Teleop11.5
End1.3
red by 2.0
8169
Unranked
16.60.0
16.616.6
Auto7.9
Teleop7.4
End1.3
Second
8584
Unranked
8.20.0
8.28.2
Auto3.7
Teleop4.1
End0.5
blue by 6.9
7645
Unranked
15.10.0
15.115.1
Auto5.7
Teleop7.9
End1.6
Third
9995
Unranked
5.60.0
5.65.6
Auto2.0
Teleop2.7
End0.5
blue by 6.1
7497
Unranked
11.70.0
11.711.7
Auto7.2
Teleop3.4
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
41%Melody odds14%Melody odds
Ensemble
7%Ensemble odds7%Ensemble odds