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Red33
856914.5
608315.8
802017.6
Blue41
942710.8
755110.8
61913.1
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5723040801001201401603341

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8020
Unranked
17.60.0
17.617.6
Auto5.7
Teleop9.9
End2.1
red by 6.8
7551
Unranked
10.80.0
10.810.8
Auto4.2
Teleop4.8
End1.9
Second
6083
Unranked
15.80.0
15.815.8
Auto6.0
Teleop9.9
End-0.2
red by 5.0
9427
Unranked
10.80.0
10.810.8
Auto4.2
Teleop4.5
End2.0
Third
8569
Unranked
14.50.0
14.514.5
Auto6.7
Teleop6.0
End1.9
red by 11.4
6191
Unranked
3.10.0
3.13.1
Auto1.5
Teleop0.1
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
35%Melody odds2%Melody odds
Ensemble
18%Ensemble odds10%Ensemble odds