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Red28
879010.9
85858.7
88057.3
Blue54
950118.3
767315.2
912622.1
25%Model gave it75%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions24670501001502002854

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8790
Unranked
10.90.0
10.910.9
Auto2.8
Teleop7.1
End1.0
blue by 11.2
9126
Unranked
22.10.0
22.122.1
Auto5.8
Teleop14.7
End1.6
Second
8585
Unranked
8.70.0
8.78.7
Auto3.2
Teleop4.5
End1.0
blue by 9.6
9501
Unranked
18.30.0
18.318.3
Auto5.1
Teleop11.4
End1.8
Third
8805
Unranked
7.30.0
7.37.3
Auto1.5
Teleop5.7
End0.1
blue by 7.9
7673
Unranked
15.20.0
15.215.2
Auto6.8
Teleop7.0
End1.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
15%Melody odds53%Melody odds
Ensemble
5%Ensemble odds24%Ensemble odds