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Red8
694730.4
76369.6
75898.6
Blue66
880630.4
763221.8
872524.8
23%Model gave it77%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions48910150200866

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6947
Unranked
30.40.0
30.430.4
Auto13.8
Teleop14.9
End1.6
Level
8806
Unranked
30.40.0
30.430.4
Auto13.1
Teleop14.3
End2.9
Second
7636
Unranked
9.60.0
9.69.6
Auto3.3
Teleop5.4
End0.9
blue by 15.2
8725
Unranked
24.80.0
24.824.8
Auto12.8
Teleop11.4
End0.6
Third
7589
Unranked
8.60.0
8.68.6
Auto3.0
Teleop4.8
End0.8
blue by 13.2
7632
Unranked
21.80.0
21.821.8
Auto9.9
Teleop10.3
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
23%Melody odds48%Melody odds
Ensemble
25%Ensemble odds4%Ensemble odds