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Red13
713012.7
859515.0
99995.6
Blue15
99985.6
87239.3
95647.1
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions413302060801001201401601315

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8595
Unranked
15.00.0
15.015.0
Auto5.0
Teleop7.6
End2.3
red by 5.6
8723
Unranked
9.30.0
9.39.3
Auto3.5
Teleop4.8
End1.0
Second
7130
Unranked
12.70.0
12.712.7
Auto5.3
Teleop5.7
End1.7
red by 5.6
9564
Unranked
7.10.0
7.17.1
Auto1.2
Teleop5.1
End0.7
Third
9999
Unranked
5.60.0
5.65.6
Auto2.0
Teleop2.7
End0.5
Level
9998
Unranked
5.60.0
5.65.6
Auto2.0
Teleop2.7
End0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
35%Melody odds19%Melody odds
Ensemble
25%Ensemble odds3%Ensemble odds