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Red30
85848.2
802017.6
713012.7
Blue6
99995.6
76369.6
879010.9
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions45300206080100120140306

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8020
Unranked
17.60.0
17.617.6
Auto5.7
Teleop9.9
End2.1
red by 6.7
8790
Unranked
10.90.0
10.910.9
Auto2.8
Teleop7.1
End1.0
Second
7130
Unranked
12.70.0
12.712.7
Auto5.3
Teleop5.7
End1.7
red by 3.1
7636
Unranked
9.60.0
9.69.6
Auto3.3
Teleop5.4
End0.9
Third
8584
Unranked
8.20.0
8.28.2
Auto3.7
Teleop4.1
End0.5
red by 2.6
9999
Unranked
5.60.0
5.65.6
Auto2.0
Teleop2.7
End0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
23%Melody odds14%Melody odds
Ensemble
10%Ensemble odds18%Ensemble odds