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Red31
942710.8
85858.7
99985.6
Blue38
87239.3
770918.6
816916.6
43%Model gave it57%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions365101001502003138

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9427
Unranked
10.80.0
10.810.8
Auto4.2
Teleop4.5
End2.0
blue by 7.8
7709
Unranked
18.60.0
18.618.6
Auto5.8
Teleop11.5
End1.3
Second
8585
Unranked
8.70.0
8.78.7
Auto3.2
Teleop4.5
End1.0
blue by 7.9
8169
Unranked
16.60.0
16.616.6
Auto7.9
Teleop7.4
End1.3
Third
9998
Unranked
5.60.0
5.65.6
Auto2.0
Teleop2.7
End0.5
blue by 3.7
8723
Unranked
9.30.0
9.39.3
Auto3.5
Teleop4.8
End1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
9%Melody odds39%Melody odds
Ensemble
5%Ensemble odds12%Ensemble odds