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Red17
872524.8
856914.5
95647.1
Blue45
694730.4
950118.3
859515.0
33%Model gave it67%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions487401001502001745

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8725
Unranked
24.80.0
24.824.8
Auto12.8
Teleop11.4
End0.6
blue by 5.5
6947
Unranked
30.40.0
30.430.4
Auto13.8
Teleop14.9
End1.6
Second
8569
Unranked
14.50.0
14.514.5
Auto6.7
Teleop6.0
End1.9
blue by 3.8
9501
Unranked
18.30.0
18.318.3
Auto5.1
Teleop11.4
End1.8
Third
9564
Unranked
7.10.0
7.17.1
Auto1.2
Teleop5.1
End0.7
blue by 7.9
8595
Unranked
15.00.0
15.015.0
Auto5.0
Teleop7.6
End2.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
29%Melody odds78%Melody odds
Ensemble
6%Ensemble odds22%Ensemble odds