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Red24
201013.0
90976.6
314011.9
Blue59
398417.5
101411.9
402026.4
29%Model gave it71%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions314301020506070802459

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2010
#18
13.00.9
9.99.0
Auto7.6
Teleop4.4
End0.9
blue by 13.4
26.42.4
17.820.2
Auto10.5
Teleop13.7
End2.3
Second
3140
#21
11.90.9
12.411.5
Auto4.0
Teleop7.1
End0.8
blue by 5.6
17.52.4
10.913.3
Auto3.5
Teleop11.7
End2.3
Third
9097
#30
6.60.9
7.56.7
Auto4.7
Teleop1.4
End0.5
blue by 5.4
1014
#31
11.92.4
8.811.2
Auto5.2
Teleop5.3
End1.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
19%Melody oddsMissed22%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
10%Ensemble oddsMissed11%Ensemble oddsMissed