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Red11
91528.7
38247.4
63027.2
Blue31
46309.6
651721.6
384310.8
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions33361020304050601131

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9152
#23
8.73.2
9.96.7
Auto4.2
Teleop3.6
End1.0
blue by 12.9
21.60.1
12.212.1
Auto10.1
Teleop10.5
End1.1
Second
3824
#24
7.43.2
11.07.8
Auto3.5
Teleop1.9
End2.0
blue by 3.4
3843
#16
10.80.1
10.210.0
Auto5.9
Teleop4.2
End0.7
Third
6302
#25
7.23.2
9.05.8
Auto2.5
Teleop3.3
End1.4
blue by 2.4
4630
#27
9.60.1
9.79.6
Auto6.8
Teleop2.4
End0.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
19%Melody oddsMissed20%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
10%Ensemble oddsEarned10%Ensemble oddsMissed