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Qual 112024 Smoky Mountains Regional
Red46
384310.8
96685.5
742814.3
Blue52
285610.8
201013.0
500512.4
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions352901020405060704652

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7428
#4
14.31.7
11.1→12.8
Auto4.0
Teleop7.9
End2.4
red by 1.3
2010
#18
13.00.0
9.0→9.1
Auto7.6
Teleop4.4
End0.9
Second
3843
#16
10.81.7
10.0→11.8
Auto5.9
Teleop4.2
End0.7
blue by 1.6
5005
#8
12.40.0
10.2→10.2
Auto4.5
Teleop6.6
End1.3
Third
9668
#32
5.51.7
9.5→11.2
Auto1.8
Teleop3.5
End0.2
blue by 5.4
2856
#13
10.80.0
7.6→7.6
Auto5.7
Teleop3.7
End1.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
15%Melody oddsEarned15%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
9%Ensemble oddsMissed9%Ensemble oddsMissed