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Red42
743120.5
146617.3
91528.7
Blue23
101411.9
38215.0
39666.9
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions353320253040454223

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7431
#10
20.51.1
10.611.7
Auto9.8
Teleop8.2
End2.6
red by 8.6
1014
#31
11.91.3
11.29.9
Auto5.2
Teleop5.3
End1.4
Second
17.31.1
14.415.5
Auto8.8
Teleop5.8
End2.6
red by 10.4
3966
#29
6.91.3
9.27.9
Auto3.7
Teleop2.2
End0.9
Third
9152
#23
8.71.1
6.77.9
Auto4.2
Teleop3.6
End1.0
red by 3.7
3821
#28
5.01.3
9.48.1
Auto3.2
Teleop1.5
End0.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
17%Melody oddsMissed15%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
14%Ensemble oddsMissed9%Ensemble oddsMissed