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Red63
402026.4
63027.2
278321.9
Blue87
426516.7
159213.1
287217.7
22%Model gave it78%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions435320306070806387

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
26.42.0
20.222.2
Auto10.5
Teleop13.7
End2.3
red by 8.7
17.70.0
17.517.5
Auto5.7
Teleop9.8
End2.2
Second
21.92.0
14.016.0
Auto7.1
Teleop12.3
End2.5
red by 5.2
4265
#19
16.70.0
17.217.3
Auto7.7
Teleop8.0
End1.0
Third
6302
#25
7.22.0
5.87.8
Auto2.5
Teleop3.3
End1.4
blue by 5.9
1592
#12
13.10.0
12.112.1
Auto5.4
Teleop5.5
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
19%Melody oddsEarned28%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
15%Ensemble oddsMissed10%Ensemble oddsMissed