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Red34
101411.9
314011.9
31399.3
Blue30
91528.7
46309.6
57445.1
64%Model gave it36%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions31260102040503430

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1014
#31Sur
11.90.7
9.910.6
Auto5.2
Teleop5.3
End1.4
red by 2.4
4630
#27
9.60.2
8.38.1
Auto6.8
Teleop2.4
End0.4
Second
3140
#21
11.90.7
10.210.9
Auto4.0
Teleop7.1
End0.8
red by 3.2
9152
#23
8.70.2
7.97.7
Auto4.2
Teleop3.6
End1.0
Third
3139
#15
9.30.7
7.38.0
Auto3.0
Teleop5.8
End0.6
red by 4.2
5744
#33
5.10.2
8.28.1
Auto2.9
Teleop1.7
End0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
13%Melody oddsMissed13%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
8%Ensemble oddsMissed12%Ensemble oddsMissed