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Qual 142024 Smoky Mountains Regional
Red50
201013.0
426516.7
398417.5
Blue51
278321.9
742814.3
500512.4
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4443253035405055605051

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3984
#7
17.50.6
13.1→13.7
Auto3.5
Teleop11.7
End2.3
blue by 4.4
2783
#5
21.91.3
16.0→17.3
Auto7.1
Teleop12.3
End2.5
Second
4265
#19
16.70.6
17.3→17.9
Auto7.7
Teleop8.0
End1.0
red by 2.4
7428
#4
14.31.3
12.8→14.2
Auto4.0
Teleop7.9
End2.4
Third
2010
#18
13.00.6
9.1→9.7
Auto7.6
Teleop4.4
End0.9
red by 0.6
5005
#8
12.41.3
10.2→11.5
Auto4.5
Teleop6.6
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
15%Melody oddsEarned28%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
9%Ensemble oddsMissed8%Ensemble oddsMissed