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Red35
96685.5
5388.7
446217.4
Blue56
651721.6
146617.3
402026.4
9%Model gave it91%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions326102040801003556

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4462
#11
17.40.0
11.811.9
Auto6.5
Teleop8.0
End2.9
blue by 9.0
26.40.4
22.222.7
Auto10.5
Teleop13.7
End2.3
Second
538
#17
8.70.0
9.69.7
Auto4.5
Teleop2.5
End1.7
blue by 12.9
21.60.4
14.314.7
Auto10.1
Teleop10.5
End1.1
Third
9668
#32
5.50.0
11.211.2
Auto1.8
Teleop3.5
End0.2
blue by 11.8
17.30.4
15.516.0
Auto8.8
Teleop5.8
End2.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
25%Melody oddsMissed23%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
8%Ensemble oddsMissed9%Ensemble oddsMissed