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Red18
63027.2
75166.0
61077.7
Blue29
23413.5
91528.7
500512.4
15%Model gave it85%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions23440103040506070801829

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6107
#20
7.70.8
9.58.7
Auto2.0
Teleop4.9
End0.9
blue by 5.7
234
#14
13.50.9
18.017.1
Auto2.0
Teleop9.6
End1.8
Second
6302
#25
7.20.8
7.87.0
Auto2.5
Teleop3.3
End1.4
blue by 5.2
12.40.9
11.510.6
Auto4.5
Teleop6.6
End1.3
Third
7516
#22
6.00.8
5.95.1
Auto3.1
Teleop2.1
End0.9
blue by 2.7
9152
#23
8.70.9
7.76.8
Auto4.2
Teleop3.6
End1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
16%Melody oddsMissed17%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
11%Ensemble oddsMissed11%Ensemble oddsMissed