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Red41
57445.1
201013.0
287217.7
Blue58
426516.7
446217.4
651721.6
20%Model gave it80%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions35510204060804158

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
17.70.8
16.116.9
Auto5.7
Teleop9.8
End2.2
blue by 4.0
21.60.9
14.715.7
Auto10.1
Teleop10.5
End1.1
Second
2010
#18
13.00.8
9.710.5
Auto7.6
Teleop4.4
End0.9
blue by 4.4
4462
#11
17.40.9
11.912.8
Auto6.5
Teleop8.0
End2.9
Third
5744
#33
5.10.8
8.18.9
Auto2.9
Teleop1.7
End0.5
blue by 11.6
4265
#19
16.70.9
17.918.8
Auto7.7
Teleop8.0
End1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
24%Melody oddsMissed33%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
7%Ensemble oddsMissed8%Ensemble oddsMissed