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Red65
159213.1
146617.3
80120.0
Blue24
384310.8
314011.9
39666.9
83%Model gave it17%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions50300204060806524

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
801
#1
20.01.7
15.417.1
Auto9.6
Teleop7.8
End2.7
red by 8.2
3140
#21
11.90.6
10.910.3
Auto4.0
Teleop7.1
End0.8
Second
17.31.7
16.017.6
Auto8.8
Teleop5.8
End2.6
red by 6.5
3843
#16
10.80.6
11.410.8
Auto5.9
Teleop4.2
End0.7
Third
1592
#12
13.11.7
11.713.4
Auto5.4
Teleop5.5
End2.1
red by 6.2
3966
#29
6.90.6
7.26.6
Auto3.7
Teleop2.2
End0.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
22%Melody oddsEarned17%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
7%Ensemble oddsMissed7%Ensemble oddsMissed