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Red8
96685.5
31399.3
38215.0
Blue32
398417.5
63027.2
90976.6
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions312701020405060832

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3139
#15
9.32.2
8.05.8
Auto3.0
Teleop5.8
End0.6
blue by 8.2
17.50.2
13.713.9
Auto3.5
Teleop11.7
End2.3
Second
9668
#32
5.52.2
11.29.0
Auto1.8
Teleop3.5
End0.2
blue by 1.7
6302
#25
7.20.2
7.07.2
Auto2.5
Teleop3.3
End1.4
Third
3821
#28
5.02.2
8.76.5
Auto3.2
Teleop1.5
End0.4
blue by 1.5
9097
#30
6.60.2
4.44.6
Auto4.7
Teleop1.4
End0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
15%Melody oddsMissed22%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
7%Ensemble oddsMissed10%Ensemble oddsMissed