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Red56
101411.9
285610.8
146617.3
Blue45
23413.5
287217.7
38215.0
33%Model gave it67%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions394520305060705645

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
17.31.6
17.619.3
Auto8.8
Teleop5.8
End2.6
blue by 0.4
17.70.6
16.917.4
Auto5.7
Teleop9.8
End2.2
Second
1014
#31
11.91.6
10.111.7
Auto5.2
Teleop5.3
End1.4
blue by 1.5
234
#14
13.50.6
16.617.1
Auto2.0
Teleop9.6
End1.8
Third
2856
#13
10.81.6
8.510.1
Auto5.7
Teleop3.7
End1.4
red by 5.8
3821
#28
5.00.6
6.57.0
Auto3.2
Teleop1.5
End0.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
20%Melody oddsMissed15%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
6%Ensemble oddsMissed7%Ensemble oddsMissed