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Red77
402026.4
743120.5
159213.1
Blue47
75166.0
651721.6
90976.6
91%Model gave it9%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions582702040801007747

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
26.43.0
21.424.4
Auto10.5
Teleop13.7
End2.3
red by 4.8
21.62.1
18.320.4
Auto10.1
Teleop10.5
End1.1
Second
7431
#10
20.53.2
16.920.0
Auto9.8
Teleop8.2
End2.6
red by 14.0
9097
#30
6.62.0
4.96.8
Auto4.7
Teleop1.4
End0.5
Third
1592
#12
13.13.0
10.213.1
Auto5.4
Teleop5.5
End2.1
red by 7.1
7516
#22
6.02.0
4.86.7
Auto3.1
Teleop2.1
End0.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
31%Melody oddsEarned14%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
8%Ensemble oddsEarned8%Ensemble oddsMissed