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Red36
57445.1
38247.4
80120.0
Blue31
201013.0
239315.4
91528.7
68%Model gave it32%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions403002060803631

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
801
#1
20.00.1
17.117.2
Auto9.6
Teleop7.8
End2.7
red by 4.7
2393
#26
15.40.3
10.811.1
Auto9.4
Teleop4.7
End1.3
Second
3824
#24
7.40.1
8.99.0
Auto3.5
Teleop1.9
End2.0
blue by 5.6
2010
#18
13.00.3
10.510.8
Auto7.6
Teleop4.4
End0.9
Third
5744
#33
5.10.1
8.99.0
Auto2.9
Teleop1.7
End0.5
blue by 3.6
9152
#23
8.70.3
6.87.1
Auto4.2
Teleop3.6
End1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
19%Melody oddsMissed13%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
10%Ensemble oddsMissed10%Ensemble oddsMissed