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Red38
38247.4
287217.7
278321.9
Blue40
91528.7
39666.9
651721.6
83%Model gave it17%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions51300204060801003840

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
21.91.2
17.616.4
Auto7.1
Teleop12.3
End2.5
red by 0.2
21.61.1
15.716.8
Auto10.1
Teleop10.5
End1.1
Second
17.71.2
17.416.2
Auto5.7
Teleop9.8
End2.2
red by 9.0
9152
#23
8.71.1
7.18.2
Auto4.2
Teleop3.6
End1.0
Third
3824
#24
7.41.2
9.07.8
Auto3.5
Teleop1.9
End2.0
red by 0.5
3966
#29
6.91.1
7.38.4
Auto3.7
Teleop2.2
End0.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
22%Melody oddsMissed23%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
9%Ensemble oddsMissed9%Ensemble oddsMissed