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Qual 312024 Smoky Mountains Regional
Red38
90976.6
239315.4
146617.3
Blue60
500512.4
743120.5
314011.9
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions383820253035455055603860

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1466
#6
17.30.1
19.3→19.4
Auto8.8
Teleop5.8
End2.6
blue by 3.3
7431
#10
20.52.9
13.9→16.8
Auto9.8
Teleop8.2
End2.6
Second
2393
#26
15.40.1
11.1→11.2
Auto9.4
Teleop4.7
End1.3
red by 3.0
5005
#8
12.42.9
10.2→13.1
Auto4.5
Teleop6.6
End1.3
Third
9097
#30
6.60.1
4.6→4.7
Auto4.7
Teleop1.4
End0.5
blue by 5.3
3140
#21
11.92.9
10.0→12.9
Auto4.0
Teleop7.1
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
17%Melody oddsMissed11%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
6%Ensemble oddsMissed6%Ensemble oddsMissed