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Red49
651721.6
500512.4
38247.4
Blue49
743120.5
742814.3
61077.7
28%Model gave it72%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions40502060804949

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
21.6
Auto10.1
Teleop10.5
End1.1
red by 1.1
7431
#10
20.5
Auto9.8
Teleop8.2
End2.6
Second
12.4
Auto4.5
Teleop6.6
End1.3
blue by 1.9
14.3
Auto4.0
Teleop7.9
End2.4
Third
3824
#24
7.4
Auto3.5
Teleop1.9
End2.0
blue by 0.3
6107
#20
7.7
Auto2.0
Teleop4.9
End0.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
25%Melody oddsMissed31%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
8%Ensemble oddsMissed8%Ensemble oddsMissed