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Red38
314011.9
402026.4
57445.1
Blue50
239315.4
278321.9
384310.8
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions49442060801003850

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
26.40.7
25.124.5
Auto10.5
Teleop13.7
End2.3
red by 4.5
21.90.5
18.318.8
Auto7.1
Teleop12.3
End2.5
Second
3140
#21
11.90.7
12.912.2
Auto4.0
Teleop7.1
End0.8
blue by 3.5
2393
#26
15.40.5
11.211.7
Auto9.4
Teleop4.7
End1.3
Third
5744
#33
5.10.6
5.95.3
Auto2.9
Teleop1.7
End0.5
blue by 5.6
3843
#16
10.80.5
10.711.2
Auto5.9
Teleop4.2
End0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
25%Melody oddsMissed15%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
6%Ensemble oddsMissed5%Ensemble oddsMissed