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Red48
31399.3
287217.7
384310.8
Blue44
46309.6
23413.5
201013.0
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions404102060801001201404844

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
17.71.1
17.218.3
Auto5.7
Teleop9.8
End2.2
red by 4.2
234
#14
13.50.7
15.015.7
Auto2.0
Teleop9.6
End1.8
Second
3843
#16
10.81.1
11.212.3
Auto5.9
Teleop4.2
End0.7
blue by 2.2
2010
#18
13.00.7
12.212.8
Auto7.6
Teleop4.4
End0.9
Third
3139
#15
9.31.1
8.29.3
Auto3.0
Teleop5.8
End0.6
blue by 0.3
4630
#27
9.60.7
10.010.7
Auto6.8
Teleop2.4
End0.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
8%Melody oddsEarned8%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
10%Ensemble oddsMissed7%Ensemble oddsMissed