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Red17
38215.0
91528.7
742814.3
Blue65
146617.3
398417.5
5388.7
22%Model gave it78%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions31470204060801765

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
14.31.3
16.114.8
Auto4.0
Teleop7.9
End2.4
blue by 3.2
17.50.9
15.816.7
Auto3.5
Teleop11.7
End2.3
Second
9152
#23
8.71.2
9.58.3
Auto4.2
Teleop3.6
End1.0
blue by 8.6
17.30.9
18.119.0
Auto8.8
Teleop5.8
End2.6
Third
3821
#28
5.01.2
4.33.0
Auto3.2
Teleop1.5
End0.4
blue by 3.7
538
#17
8.70.9
6.97.8
Auto4.5
Teleop2.5
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
16%Melody oddsMissed16%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
15%Ensemble oddsMissed5%Ensemble oddsEarned