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Red54
426516.7
61077.7
402026.4
Blue32
39666.9
38247.4
239315.4
95%Model gave it5%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions632702040801001205432

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
26.40.1
24.424.5
Auto10.5
Teleop13.7
End2.3
red by 11.0
2393
#26
15.40.3
13.213.5
Auto9.4
Teleop4.7
End1.3
Second
4265
#19
16.70.1
18.718.8
Auto7.7
Teleop8.0
End1.0
red by 9.3
3824
#24
7.40.3
6.56.9
Auto3.5
Teleop1.9
End2.0
Third
6107
#20
7.70.1
9.69.7
Auto2.0
Teleop4.9
End0.9
red by 0.8
3966
#29
6.90.3
9.09.3
Auto3.7
Teleop2.2
End0.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
30%Melody oddsMissed10%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
24%Ensemble oddsMissed11%Ensemble oddsMissed