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Red59
742814.3
80120.0
63027.2
Blue56
159213.1
278321.9
201013.0
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4651203040607080905956

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
801
#1
20.00.6
20.020.6
Auto9.6
Teleop7.8
End2.7
blue by 1.8
21.91.0
20.020.9
Auto7.1
Teleop12.3
End2.5
Second
14.30.7
14.815.4
Auto4.0
Teleop7.9
End2.4
red by 1.2
1592
#12
13.11.0
12.413.4
Auto5.4
Teleop5.5
End2.1
Third
6302
#25
7.20.6
7.48.0
Auto2.5
Teleop3.3
End1.4
blue by 5.8
2010
#18
13.01.0
12.813.8
Auto7.6
Teleop4.4
End0.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
45%Melody oddsMissed32%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
9%Ensemble oddsEarned6%Ensemble oddsMissed