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Red34
743120.5
384310.8
23413.5
Blue20
39666.9
61077.7
96685.5
91%Model gave it9%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions592602040801001203420

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7431
#10
20.51.7
21.319.7
Auto9.8
Teleop8.2
End2.6
red by 12.8
6107
#20
7.71.7
9.78.0
Auto2.0
Teleop4.9
End0.9
Second
234
#14
13.51.5
15.714.2
Auto2.0
Teleop9.6
End1.8
red by 6.6
3966
#29
6.91.6
9.37.7
Auto3.7
Teleop2.2
End0.9
Third
3843
#16
10.81.5
12.310.8
Auto5.9
Teleop4.2
End0.7
red by 5.3
9668
#32
5.51.6
8.87.2
Auto1.8
Teleop3.5
End0.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
43%Melody oddsMissed15%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
10%Ensemble oddsMissed6%Ensemble oddsEarned