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Qual 552024 Smoky Mountains Regional
Red55
287217.7
285610.8
651721.6
Blue47
398417.5
38215.0
239315.4
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions553402040801005547

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6517
#3
21.60.7
19.5→20.2
Auto10.1
Teleop10.5
End1.1
red by 4.1
3984
#7
17.51.2
16.7→17.9
Auto3.5
Teleop11.7
End2.3
Second
2872
#9
17.70.7
18.3→19.0
Auto5.7
Teleop9.8
End2.2
red by 2.3
2393
#26
15.41.2
13.5→14.7
Auto9.4
Teleop4.7
End1.3
Third
2856
#13
10.80.7
9.5→10.2
Auto5.7
Teleop3.7
End1.4
red by 5.8
3821
#28
5.01.2
3.0→4.3
Auto3.2
Teleop1.5
End0.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
16%Melody oddsEarned13%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
10%Ensemble oddsMissed9%Ensemble oddsMissed