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Red40
80120.0
201013.0
75166.0
Blue23
146617.3
426516.7
96685.5
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions45492030406070804023

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
801
#1
20.00.9
20.619.7
Auto9.6
Teleop7.8
End2.7
red by 2.8
17.31.7
18.817.1
Auto8.8
Teleop5.8
End2.6
Second
2010
#18
13.00.9
13.812.9
Auto7.6
Teleop4.4
End0.9
blue by 3.7
4265
#19
16.71.7
17.816.1
Auto7.7
Teleop8.0
End1.0
Third
7516
#22
6.00.9
6.96.0
Auto3.1
Teleop2.1
End0.9
red by 0.5
9668
#32
5.51.7
7.25.5
Auto1.8
Teleop3.5
End0.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
39%Melody oddsMissed28%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
8%Ensemble oddsMissed12%Ensemble oddsMissed