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Red51
38215.0
500512.4
402026.4
Blue43
743120.5
31399.3
57445.1
70%Model gave it30%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions48340204060801005143

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
26.40.8
26.026.7
Auto10.5
Teleop13.7
End2.3
red by 5.9
7431
#10
20.50.7
19.720.4
Auto9.8
Teleop8.2
End2.6
Second
12.40.8
11.412.3
Auto4.5
Teleop6.6
End1.3
red by 3.1
3139
#15
9.30.7
8.79.3
Auto3.0
Teleop5.8
End0.6
Third
3821
#28
5.00.8
4.35.0
Auto3.2
Teleop1.5
End0.4
blue by 0.1
5744
#33
5.10.7
4.55.1
Auto2.9
Teleop1.7
End0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
40%Melody oddsEarned12%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
18%Ensemble oddsMissed8%Ensemble oddsMissed