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Red28
805811.0
95658.6
752217.0
Blue9
588311.1
94905.8
75755.7
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions353010204050289

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7522
#18
17.01.4
10.99.5
Auto8.2
Teleop8.7
End0.1
red by 5.9
5883
#35
11.12.1
11.08.9
Auto4.0
Teleop5.7
End1.4
Second
8058
#15
11.01.2
10.89.6
Auto4.9
Teleop5.5
End0.5
red by 5.1
9490
#24
5.81.2
5.87.0
Auto3.0
Teleop2.8
End0.0
Third
9565
#30
8.60.9
8.67.7
Auto3.3
Teleop4.2
End1.0
red by 2.9
7575
#33
5.72.1
7.95.8
Auto2.5
Teleop2.8
End0.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
12%Melody oddsMissed19%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
18%Ensemble oddsEarned10%Ensemble oddsMissed