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Red40
94649.5
643010.9
703512.2
Blue33
808419.7
602412.7
80429.2
27%Model gave it73%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2840010205060704033

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7035
#16
12.20.2
10.09.8
Auto5.1
Teleop6.4
End0.8
blue by 7.5
8084
#10
19.70.1
14.414.3
Auto8.6
Teleop9.0
End2.1
Second
6430
#37
10.90.2
7.87.6
Auto5.1
Teleop5.5
End0.3
blue by 1.8
6024
#28
12.70.2
10.910.8
Auto6.9
Teleop5.2
End0.7
Third
9464
#31
9.50.5
9.58.9
Auto5.1
Teleop3.5
End0.9
red by 0.2
8042
#42
9.20.2
9.39.2
Auto2.9
Teleop5.5
End0.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
18%Melody oddsMissed12%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
10%Ensemble oddsMissed8%Ensemble oddsMissed