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Red45
958310.1
752217.0
75755.7
Blue31
643010.9
41916.0
80429.2
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2923010204050604531

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7522
#18
17.00.5
9.510.0
Auto8.2
Teleop8.7
End0.1
red by 6.1
6430
#37
10.90.9
7.68.4
Auto5.1
Teleop5.5
End0.3
Second
9583
#21
10.10.5
10.010.5
Auto3.6
Teleop5.3
End1.2
red by 0.9
8042
#42
9.20.9
9.210.0
Auto2.9
Teleop5.5
End0.9
Third
7575
#33
5.70.5
5.86.3
Auto2.5
Teleop2.8
End0.3
blue by 0.4
4191
#46
6.00.6
4.55.2
Auto3.5
Teleop2.0
End0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
15%Melody oddsMissed10%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
13%Ensemble oddsMissed7%Ensemble oddsMissed