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Red27
94362.7
81587.8
703512.2
Blue47
815925.6
821428.0
805811.0
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions293701020506070802747

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7035
#16
12.21.1
9.88.6
Auto5.1
Teleop6.4
End0.8
blue by 15.8
28.01.6
13.014.6
Auto13.3
Teleop13.7
End1.0
Second
8158
#41
7.81.1
8.37.2
Auto5.7
Teleop1.6
End0.6
blue by 17.8
25.61.6
10.211.8
Auto13.0
Teleop11.7
End1.0
Third
9436
#52
2.75.4
2.78.0
Auto2.0
Teleop-0.1
End0.8
blue by 8.3
8058
#15
11.01.3
9.610.8
Auto4.9
Teleop5.5
End0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
17%Melody oddsMissed13%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
9%Ensemble oddsMissed24%Ensemble oddsMissed