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Red61
64157.5
698521.0
92474.9
Blue29
94649.5
855717.6
92816.2
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions34380102030506070806129

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
21.00.4
18.317.9
Auto6.7
Teleop10.4
End3.9
red by 3.4
8557
#38
17.60.6
16.515.9
Auto7.0
Teleop9.3
End1.3
Second
6415
#25
7.50.6
8.68.0
Auto2.4
Teleop4.3
End0.8
blue by 2.0
9464
#31
9.50.8
8.98.2
Auto5.1
Teleop3.5
End0.9
Third
9247
#32
4.90.4
4.44.0
Auto3.7
Teleop1.1
End0.1
blue by 1.3
9281
#48
6.20.8
8.67.8
Auto0.7
Teleop5.0
End0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
9%Melody oddsMissed13%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
13%Ensemble oddsEarned7%Ensemble oddsMissed